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External pipelines · RISE project catalogue

Asta AutoDiscovery

Ai2's autonomous data-driven discovery agent (formerly AutoDS; relaunched inside AstaLabs on 2026-02-12): pointed at a structured dataset, it generates natural-language hypotheses, proposes experiment plans, writes and executes Python analyses — up to 500 experiments in a session — and ranks the resulting findings by Bayesian surprise, the shift from the LLM's prior to posterior belief in each hypothesis. Sits at the hypothesis-generation → data-analysis → code-generation slice of the pipeline; no literature layer and no paper drafting.

Indexed in RISE · activeConformance with the standard plannedProject site

What it does

The first production discovery agent to use Bayesian surprise as the objective: an MCTS search with progressive widening treats surprisal as reward, so the system hunts belief-shifting findings rather than confirmations. Early-access users have generated 46K+ hypotheses across oncology, neuroscience, climate science, and the social sciences, and several independently verified social-science findings were published in a peer-reviewed paper (arXiv:2511.12529).

Focus
ideation
Inputs
structured-dataset
Outputs
ranked-hypotheses, experiment-code, statistical-results
Architecture
tool-use, iterative-loop
Maintained by
Allen Institute for AI (Ai2)
Started
2025

Description

Data model
Discipline
General
Method family
not specified
Design
not specified
Research stage
HypothesesData analysisCode generation
Contributors
Allen Institute for AI
Usage
not used in published research yet
Source
RISE project catalogue · projects/landscape · @4c17bae
Record
pipeline:asta-autodiscovery · JSON

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Bring it into the standard

A pipeline built outside E2ER can meet the standard by describing its steps as a template, attaching the floor of checks and publishing evaluation records. Its authors keep ownership and credit.